{"id":3714,"date":"2026-09-02T14:40:50","date_gmt":"2026-09-02T14:40:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vaultinsider.top\/?p=3714"},"modified":"2026-09-02T14:40:50","modified_gmt":"2026-09-02T14:40:50","slug":"world-to-surpass-1-5-degree-climate-goal-in-the-next-few-years-un-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vaultinsider.top\/?p=3714","title":{"rendered":"World to surpass 1.5-degree climate goal \u2018in the next few years,\u2019 UN warns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/img-assets\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/AP26241239660711-e1788354522813.jpg?w=2048\" \/><\/p>\n<p>In a strategic retreat in\u00a0the fight against climate change, the United Nations has acknowledged that Earth has lost its chance to prevent some of the worst of global warming\u2019s harms. So now the world must figure out how to get temperatures below the danger zone and back to safety, officials say.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Earth is soon going to exceed the safe temperature threshold agreed upon by the world in the 2015 Paris climate accord because of\u00a0warming from the burning of coal, oil and gas, according to a bleak first-of-its-kind report issued by the\u00a0United Nations Environment Programme\u00a0Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Instead of giving up, scientists and U.N. officials recommend trying to limit excessive warming and then bring the temperature back down to the agreed-upon threshold. But it still will mean decades of increased\u00a0weather-related disasters,\u00a0rising seas,\u00a0extinctions and\u00a0melting ice\u00a0and\u00a0glaciers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cHumanity is speeding past the limit to avoid climate catastrophe,\u201d United Nations Secretary-General Ant\u00f3nio Guterres said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After a period of over-the-limit warming, the new strategy envisions getting back below the limit by ending fossil fuel use and developing some kind of way to suck industries\u2019 carbon dioxide out of the air.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt\u2019s a reality check. We have to live with this warmer world,\u201d said report co-author Richard Betts, a climate scientist at the University of Exeter. \u201cBut there\u2019s still a lot we can do to limit warming.\u201d<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Passing the longtime warming threshold<\/h4>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After the Paris climate accord, the United Nations ordered its climate science arm to study different warming limits.\u00a0A goal of 1.5 Celsius (2.7 Fahrenheit)\u00a0above mid-19th century temperatures became generally accepted after the scientists found dramatic impacts that affect people and the planet at 2 degrees Celsius (3.8 degrees Fahrenheit) but not at 1.5 degrees.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The world is now at 1.4 C (2.5 F) above pre-industrial levels, some scientists have calculated. The measure is based on a 20-year average, rather than a single year\u2019s temperatures.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Despite experts saying there\u2019s no way to limit warming to 1.5 degrees, U.N. officials long\u00a0maintained the 1.5 window was still open. Wednesday\u2019s report finally admitted that the world will cross the 1.5 threshold \u201cin the next few years.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The report said the most optimistic scenario has warming peaking at 1.8 C (3.2 F) around mid-century if countries pursue ambitious climate goals, but that governments\u2019 current policies should push temperatures to 2.6 C (4.7 F) above pre-industrial levels by 2100.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So instead of preventing warming of 1.5 degrees, now the U.N. said it wants policymakers to \u201cprepare for and navigate a future\u201d in which the globe crosses that limit and then corrects course and cools temperatures. The report envisions that global temperatures will pass 1.5 \u201cwithin the next few years,\u201d follow a hump-shaped path of more warming, peak, then gradually cool to below the 1.5 mark, ideally by the end of the century. The report and experts call it \u201covershoot.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cLet\u2019s be very clear, 1.5 target is still the goal. But now we need to approach it differently from above,\u201d said UNEP Executive Director Inger Andersen.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 1.5 limit is not \u201csome magical climate cliff\u201d where it\u2019s just game over, said University of Victoria climate scientist Andrew Weaver, who wasn\u2019t part of the study. \u201cEvery tenth of a degree we avoid still means less damage.\u201d<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Limiting how high temperatures go past threshold is key<\/h4>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s most important to first limit the new peak temperature and then reduce the amount of time above 1.5 degrees, Andersen said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But the world likely will be in that overshoot period for \u201cmany, many decades,\u201d Betts said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Every five years of delay in reducing emissions adds at least a tenth of a degree to peak warming, said report co-author Joeri Rogelj, a climate scientist at Imperial College London.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIf we act now we can limit overshoot,\u201d the report said. \u201cNot a safe world, but safer than remaining above\u201d 1.5 degrees for the long term.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThis is among the bleakest U.N. climate reports I have read. It carries the unmistakable tone of desperation, frustration and urgency \u2014 but not resignation,\u201d Weaver said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Climate scientist Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics, said that \u201calthough UNEP does a good job of describing the hole we\u2019ve dug ourselves into, it does a poor job of showing us that there\u2019s a way out.\u201d<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Adapting to a deadlier, hungrier, thirstier world<\/h4>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Governments need to increase efforts to adapt to worsening warming, which hits the poor hardest, \u201cbecause some impacts simply cannot be avoided,\u201d Andersen said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The report calls this phase \u201ccoping and containment.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">During this overshoot period, more people will die or get sick because of the worsening climate change and its extreme weather, the report said. Food production will drop, people will go hungry, water shortages will worsen, economies will be hurt and species like coral will go extinct, the report said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Although the triggers behind the recent\u00a0deadly Nepal flooding\u00a0that came as part of a Himalayan glacier dislodging are complex, Betts said \u201cunfortunately we do expect to see more of such things and this is exactly why we need to limit peak warming.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The report warns of \u201ctipping points\u201d with irreversible and cascading effects, including the loss of the West Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets, the loss of the Amazon rain forest and the shutdown of the Atlantic Ocean circulation system that keeps much of Europe warm.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cSome locations might become more or less uninsurable or even uninhabitable,\u201d the report said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The last phase in overshoot is cooling the planet by removing carbon dioxide from the air and storing it somewhere. The report said the traditional approach of this is planting more trees, but it says planting trees could, at most, shave a tenth of a degree off global temperatures. So the authors said more novel carbon removal approaches will be needed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Other scientists called that unreliable and expensive.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe were unable to stop the runaway train of global emissions to avoid 1.5 C of warming,\u201d said Stanford University climate scientist Rob Jackson, who wasn\u2019t part of the report. \u201cNow overshoot scenarios require us to stop the train quickly and to back it up. Is it our best hope? Absolutely. Is it likely? Absolutely not.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">___<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Associated Press\u2019 climate and environmental coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP\u2019s\u00a0standards\u00a0for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at\u00a0AP.org.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>#World #surpass #1.5degree #climate #goal #years #warns<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In a strategic retreat in\u00a0the &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3715,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[6534,3588,947,6535,6533,386,276,51,84],"class_list":["post-3714","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance-news","tag-1-5degree","tag-climate","tag-climate-change","tag-goal","tag-surpass","tag-united-nations","tag-warns","tag-world","tag-years"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>World to surpass 1.5-degree climate goal \u2018in the next few years,\u2019 UN warns - 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