{"id":5717,"date":"2026-09-30T22:43:06","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T22:43:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vaultinsider.top\/?p=5717"},"modified":"2026-09-30T22:43:06","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T22:43:06","slug":"verizon-ceo-dan-schulman-sees-agi-within-18-months-and-a-century-of-progress-in-a-decade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vaultinsider.top\/?p=5717","title":{"rendered":"Verizon CEO Dan Schulman sees AGI within 18 months\u2014and a century of progress in a decade"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/img-assets\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/GettyImages-2297384912-e1790801958752.jpg?w=2048\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Verizon CEO Dan Schulman offered a strikingly aggressive forecast for artificial intelligence\u2019s development at the Ford Pro Accelerate event in Detroit, saying that an earthquake is headed our way.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe models that we see today are the worst models we\u2019ll ever use in our lives,\u201d Schulman said in conversation with <em>Fortune<\/em>\u2018s Diane Brady. \u201cEvery two months, there\u2019s a step function change in the power of the models. I think we get to some form of AGI in the next six to 18 months. I think it\u2019s right on us.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Two years after that, he added, we will arrive at \u201cthe era of quantum,\u201d which he described as \u201ceverything today times 1,000.\u201d By 2030 or 2035, we will see \u201ca pretty good form of humanoid robotics.\u201d Summing it up, he added, \u201cwe\u2019ve got a decade of intense change ahead of us.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">AGI, or artificial general intelligence, is a term generally used for systems that can reason and perform broadly across domains rather than excel at discrete tasks. Schulman argued that AI\u2019s economic and social effects will arrive at a pace that outstrips the usual mechanisms for absorbing technological change, such as training systems, labor markets, corporate restructuring and public policy. \u201cIt is about machines that will in many ways be able to do things better than a lot of human tasks are done today,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI think you\u2019ll see the collapse of the 21st century in the next five to 10 years,\u201d Schulman said. When Brady asked what he meant by collapse, he explained \u201cprogress we would have made over 100 years will happen over the next five to 10 years.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI don\u2019t think we can really imagine how powerful the technology and how fundamental it will be.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Verizon\u2019s disruption<\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Schulman said the change would reach his company itself. Verizon, he said, has more than 250,000 employees and contractors and will need to move from a workforce organized around \u201cvery defined roles and functions\u201d to a \u201cmuch more fluid organization.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe technology is coming,\u201d he said. \u201cThere will be safeguards around it. There need to be additional safeguards, but it will continue on.\u201d He urged corporate leaders and government to prepare for difficult scenarios rather than assume the labor market will naturally adjust.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAt Verizon, last week we announced a $70 million initiative to do training for American workers, not just Verizon workers, but American workers in the community across the country,\u201d Schulman said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The initiative includes free AI training and work with local organizations on career development, he said, before adding a prescription for all leaders and policymakers. \u201cOur responsibility is to think about what might go wrong, what might we need to address, what might the disruption look like, and how do we put guardrails, training, programs in place to minimize that risk,\u201d Schulman said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cEverybody\u2019s job is going to shift,\u201d Schulman said. \u201cI don\u2019t think everybody will land just magically in a better place per se.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Other executives on Schulman\u2019s panel described different constraints on the AI future. There will always be a need for someone to lay fiber, install power equipment, maintain transmission lines, retrofit buildings and wire the data centers that AI requires.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For PG&amp;E CEO Patti Poppe, the central challenge is that an increasingly digitized grid will require workers to combine physical skills with technological fluency. Poppe described seeing one of PG&amp;E\u2019s workers being lowered by rope from a helicopter onto a transmission tower in mountainous California. The company\u2019s future grid, she said, will use sensors, remote-edge computing and predictive capabilities to identify risks before they create outages or wildfires. But that system will still require skilled people in the field.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe same guys who hang on the end of the rope are going to have to get smarter about those kinds of technologies,\u201d Poppe said. \u201cI\u2019m still going to need those people. Somebody\u2019s still going to have to connect that wire to the pole.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">From replacement to augmentation<\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dave Regnery, CEO of Trane Technologies, urged students and workers to embrace AI and compared current anxieties to fears surrounding the arrival of personal computers, while adding a dash of hindsight.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cGo take your favorite AI tool\u201d and look up articles from 40 years ago about personal computers, Regnery said. \u201cThey\u2019re identical.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">His company sees AI as a way to make buildings run more efficiently, rather than simply to reduce headcount. Trane is using data and AI to manage heating, ventilation and air-conditioning systems according to how buildings are actually used, he said\u2014not merely according to their original design specifications.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cMost people don\u2019t realize that 30% of all the energy is for buildings,\u201d Regnery said. \u201cAnd you know what? Thirty percent of that is wasted.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He said the company can make buildings operate roughly 15% more efficiently than their design baseline, improving economics for customers while creating demand for technicians capable of installing, servicing and operating increasingly sophisticated systems, offering a counterweight to the idea that the technology\u2019s principal effect will be displacement.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe fastest speed-to-power solution is use the essential equipment that you have,\u201d Regnery said.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The construction-site version of AI<\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chris Nelson, CEO of Stanley Black &amp; Decker, described a similar transition on job sites. His company has developed AI-enabled autonomous drilling robots that can use digital construction plans to drill holes for racks in data centers and other projects.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The technology is designed to take over repetitive physical tasks\u2014not replace the electricians and skilled tradespeople needed to complete the higher-value work.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWhat do the electricians and other skilled tradespeople not like to do all day?\u201d Nelson said. \u201cSit and core drill.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The machines can connect to digital drawings, map routes and drill on their own, he said. That frees skilled workers to pull wire, terminate connections and solve the problems that still require judgment and technical training.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe holes will still need to be drilled from now until maybe the end of time,\u201d Nelson said. \u201cBut the way we do it and what it enables people to think about for the future is going to be materially different.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nelson called AI a \u201ccompanion on the construction site,\u201d a framing that is more incremental than Schulman\u2019s vision of near-term AGI but still acknowledges that technology is changing the work itself. The question, he suggested, is whether companies can turn that change into a career draw\u2014giving workers more engaging tasks, more decision-making authority and a clearer path to starting their own businesses or moving into management.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A labor shortage, not a labor surplus<\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For Dycom CEO Dan Peyovich, whose company builds telecommunications infrastructure, the immediate business problem is not a surplus of workers displaced by AI. It is finding enough people to build the physical networks that the technology boom requires.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThere\u2019s so much infrastructure that has to get put in place for all of this to happen,\u201d Peyovich said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">His company employs roughly 21,000 people nationwide, he said, connecting homes and businesses through fiber and telecommunications infrastructure. Its response to a tightening labor market has been to improve field-worker benefits, including paid time off, holidays, health coverage and training that goes beyond technical credentials.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dycom has also built a training facility near Atlanta that includes instruction in technical skills, management, leadership, the use of technology in day-to-day work and potentially personal finance, Peyovich said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The strategy reflects a different labor-market assumption from the one embedded in much AI commentary. Instead of treating workers as interchangeable units who need only learn a new software tool, Peyovich described a system in which companies must offer a credible long-term career proposition\u2014training, benefits, advancement and financial stability\u2014to recruit people into difficult field jobs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe want to try and create a path for people,\u201d he said. \u201cWhile they\u2019re getting a paycheck, they can learn and find their way.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The tone was collegial, and Schulman didn\u2019t take issue with any of his co-panelists\u2019 predictions about the future of work. His main point was that business leaders should not bet on a painless adjustment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe need to be prepared in case a different scenario emerges,\u201d he said, \u201cso that we can make sure that we have skilled workers, whether they be craftsmen or professionals.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">His final prescription was scenario planning: leaders should ask what happens if AI\u2019s gains arrive faster than jobs, training and institutions can adjust.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cOur responsibility is to think about what might go wrong, what might we need to address, what might the disruption look like, and how do we put guardrails, training, programs in place to minimize that risk,\u201d Schulman said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>#Verizon #CEO #Dan #Schulman #sees #AGI #monthsand #century #progress #decade<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Verizon CEO Dan Schulman offer&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5718,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[7033,8811,283,8808,104,8810,2375,8809,883,3755,8807],"class_list":["post-5717","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance-news","tag-agi","tag-century","tag-ceo","tag-dan","tag-decade","tag-monthsand","tag-progress","tag-schulman","tag-sees","tag-verizon","tag-verizon-communications"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - 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